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Super Singer 5 Winner

Super Singer 5 Winner, The grand finale of Super Singer 5 took place on March 17 at the DB Jain College, Thuraipakkam, Chennai. The five finalists popular Tamil TV programme were Faridha, Rajaganapathy, Siyad, Anand Krishnan and Lakshmi Pradeep. In a tough battle, Anand Krishnan turned out to be Super Singer 5 winner.

The five finalists popular Tamil TV programme were Faridha, Rajaganapathy, Siyad, Anand Krishnan and Lakshmi Pradeep.
Faridha was declared as first runner-up and Rajaganapathy as the Judges’ Choice. The programme was aired live on Star VIjay and on Hot Star as well.

The Twitter handle of the Vijay Television has all the performances of the contestants who were in the race to lift the trophy.

Super Singer 5 Winner

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India Vs Pakistan

India Vs Pakistan, – India captain Mahendra Singh Dhoni won the toss Saturday and chose to bowl against Pakistan in their high-profile World Twenty20 Group 2 game.

The match was reduced to 18 overs per side after a one-hour delay due to a wet outfield.

Pakistan made one change to the team that won its opener against Bangladesh by 55 runs, bringing in pace bowler Mohammad Sami for spinner Imad Wasim.

India went in unchanged despite a surprise 47-run loss to New Zealand in its opening game.

New Zealand heads the group with two wins, including an eight-run victory over Australia on Friday.

Saturday’s game was originally scheduled for the city of Dharamsala but moved to Kolkata because of security concerns expressed by Pakistan.

___

Lineups:

India: Rohit Sharma, Shikhar Dhawan, Virat Kohli, Suresh Raina, Yuvraj Singh, Mahendra Singh Dhoni (captain), Hardik Pandya, Ravindra Jadeja, Ravichandran Ashwin, Ashish Nehra, Jasprit Bumrah.

Pakistan: Ahmed Shehzad, Sharjeel Khan, Mohammad Hafeez, Umar Akmal, Shahid Afridi (captain), Shoaib Malik, Sarfraz Ahmed, Mohammad Sami, Wahab Riaz, Mohammad Amir, Mohammad Irfan.

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Bernie Sanders Ohio Voters

Bernie Sanders Ohio Voters, Bernie Sanders’s win in Michigan last week was a massive upset relative to the pre-election polls of the state’s voters, which had shown Hillary Clinton ahead by an average of 21 percentage points. In fact, Sanders may have pulled off the biggest upset in the history of primary polling, eclipsing the previous record from 1984, when Gary Hart beat Walter Mondale in New Hampshire despite having trailed him by 17 percentage points.

When you consider Michigan’s demographics, however, the result wasn’t all that shocking. Michigan Democrats are fairly liberal and the state has a lot of college students — both factors that help Sanders. We aren’t just making this up as we go along; last month, we published state-by-state targets for the Clinton-Sanders race based on a few simple demographic variables in each state: specifically, its racial composition, how liberal or conservative it was, and how rural it was. Those targets had Sanders ahead of Clinton by 4 percentage points in Michigan.

Does that mean we called the upset in Michigan weeks ahead of time? No, we weren’t quite that good or lucky. The targets were based on a hypothetical race in which Clinton and Sanders were each winning about half the vote and half the delegates nationally. Since Clinton is ahead of Sanders nationally, she still would have been favored in our model (although not by the blowout margin that polls suggested).

Either way, the big gap between polls and demographics makes us nervous, especially because three more Midwestern states are voting today, including Ohio, where Clinton leads Sanders by about 11 percentage points in the polls. Historically, a margin like that would be quite safe: hence our polling model’s conclusion that Clinton is a 97 percent favorite. But after what just happened in Michigan? I’d love to drop a few bucks on Sanders if a bookmaker offered 30-to-1 odds against him, as our polling model does.

Fortunately, even if the polls haven’t been great, the conditions1 are potentially favorable for making demographic forecasts of the Democratic race. In 2008, under similar circumstances, I made demographic-based predictions of the Democratic race — see here for my North Carolina prediction, for example — which often outperformed the polls.

Those predictions in 2008 were based on regression analysis. They took advantage of the fact that Democrats report their vote by congressional district, which makes the sample more robust; by the time North Carolina voted eight years ago, for instance, hundreds of diverse congressional districts had already weighed in. So we’re overdue to apply the same technique this year.

In contrast to the demographic benchmarks we set in February, which were based on polling data, these are based on actual votes so far, aggregated across congressional districts. We can then compare these votes against demographic and attitudinal variables in each congressional district. For a more technical description of the analysis, see the footnotes.2 But basically, we’re just looking for sensible variables that have done a good job of explaining the split in the vote between Clinton and Sanders so far. The ones we included in the model are as follows:

This regression analysis6 models the vote by congressional district reasonably well. We can aggregate the congressional district projections to come up with state forecasts. Here’s what they would have said about the states to have voted so far:

RETRODICTIVE VOTE SHARE BASED ON DEMOGRAPHICS ACTUAL VOTE SHARE
DATE STATE CLINTON SANDERS CLINTON SANDERS
2/1 Iowa 40% 59% 50% 50%
2/9 New Hampshire 47 52 38 60
2/20 Nevada 48 51 53 47
2/27 South Carolina 66 33 73 26
3/1 Alabama 74 25 78 19
Arkansas 59 40 66 30
Colorado 42 57 40 59
Georgia 73 26 71 28
Massachusetts 46 53 50 49
Minnesota 39 60 38 61
Oklahoma 52 47 42 52
Tennessee 66 33 66 32
Texas 65 34 65 33
Vermont 37 62 14 86
Virginia 64 35 64 35
3/5 Kansas 46 53 32 67
Louisiana 76 23 71 23
Nebraska 44 55 43 57
3/6 Maine 37 62 35 64
3/8 Michigan 51 48 48 50
Mississippi 77 22 83 16
How a demographic model has fit the Democratic race so far
Our demographic “retrodiction”7 for Michigan still has Clinton winning, but only barely — by 3 percentage points, compared with the actual 2-point win for Sanders. Especially under the Democrats’ proportional allocation method, that’s a pretty minor difference. The model’s retrodictions in Vermont and Arkansas are also pretty far off, as you can see, but that makes sense given potential home-state effects for Sanders and Clinton in those states.

Other results are a bit harder to explain. How did Clinton (barely) win the Iowa caucuses when she got crushed in other Midwest caucus states, like Kansas and Minnesota? How did Sanders lose Massachusetts after winning New Hampshire by so much? How did Sanders win Oklahoma by 10 percentage points?

I have my theories — Clinton’s ground game may have saved her in Iowa, for instance — but my goal isn’t to explain away every last bit of variance (in which case I’d be guilty of overfitting my model). Instead, it’s to have reasonably sensible demographic-based projections that pass the smell test when applied to future states. Here are those forecasts, starting with the five states that will vote on Tuesday:

FORECAST BASED ON DEMOGRAPHICS AND RESULTS IN PAST PRIMARIES “POLLS-ONLY” FORECAST
DATE STATE CLINTON SANDERS SANDERS WIN PROB. CLINTON SANDERS SANDERS WIN PROB.
3/15 Fla. 67% 32% 4% 63% 34% <1%
Ill. 54 45 34 52 44 10
Mo. 54 45 33 49 48 46
N.C. 68 31 4 63 36 <1
Ohio 51 48 42 54 43 3
3/22 Ariz. 52 47 40
Idaho 42 57 75
Utah 40 59 82
3/26 Alaska 36 63 91
Hawaii 41 58 81
Wash. 39 60 85
4/5 Wis. 47 52 61
4/9 Wyo. 41 58 80
4/19 N.Y. 55 44 30
4/26 Conn. 51 48 43
Del. 58 41 21
Md. 63 36 10 66 32 5
Penn. 52 47 41
R.I. 49 50 52
5/3 Ind. 52 47 42
5/10 W. Va. 45 54 67
5/17 Ky. 54 45 32
Ore. 44 55 70
6/7 Calif. 53 46 37
Mont. 39 60 85
N.J. 54 45 32
N.M. 52 47 42
N.D. 36 63 90
S.D. 54 45 34
6/14 D. C. 63 36 9
Demographic projections of the remaining Democratic states
The numbers in Ohio jump out, since they suggest — in contrast to the polls — a very close race between Sanders and Clinton. After accounting for the uncertainty in the forecasts, the demographic model gives Sanders a 42 percent chance of winning Ohio, much better than the 3 percent chance that our “polls-only” forecast gives to him.

The news isn’t as good for Sanders in Missouri. There, the demographic model concludes that polls showing the race to be essentially tied are slightly too generous to Sanders; it forecasts Clinton to win by 9 percentage points.

In Illinois, the polls have been all over the place, with recent surveys showing everything from a 42-point lead for Clinton to a 2-point lead for Sanders. Our weighted polling average has Clinton up by 7 points there, and the demographic model is largely in agreement, forecasting a 9-point win for Clinton.

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Donald Trump Legal Fees Sucker Punch

Donald Trump Legal Fees Sucker Punch, Republican presidential frontrunner Donald Trump denied on Tuesday that he said he was looking into paying the legal fees for a man who is accused of punching a protester at one of Trump’s rallies.

“I didn’t say that. I haven’t looked at it yet. And nobody’s asked me to pay for fees,” Trump said on ABC’s “Good Morning America.”

A man was filmed sucker punching a demonstrator at a Trump rally last week in North Carolina. John McGraw, 78, is reportedly facing assault charges in the attack.

On Sunday’s “Meet the Press,” Trump said he “actually instructed my people to look into” paying McGraw’s legal bills. Trump also said he wanted to see the “full tape” and noted that the protester was “very loud, very disruptive.”

But during his Tuesday “Good Morning America” interview Trump appeared to be far less inclined to get involved.

“Somebody asked me the question. And I hadn’t even seen it. So I never said I was going to pay for fees,” he recalled.

“You said you were ‘looking into it,'” host George Stephanopoulos pressed. “And I’m just saying, if you’re open to that, wouldn’t by paying those fees, wouldn’t that be rewarding violence?”

Trump replied:

Well, maybe so. And maybe that’s why I wouldn’t do it. I don’t condone violence at all. I looked and I watched and I’m going to make a decision, but I certainly don’t condone violence. And maybe you’re right. And maybe that’s why I wouldn’t do it.

Trump has been harshly criticized in recent days for his violent campaign-trail rhetoric. Trump has voiced his desire to punch protesters in the face, pined for the old days in which hecklers would be roughed up, and at one event said he would pay for the legal fees of people if they “knock the crap out” of protesters throwing tomatoes.

Donald Trump Legal Fees Sucker Punch

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Justice Antonin Scalia’s Death

Justice Antonin Scalia’s Death
, The abrupt death of Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia-the fiery, funny, polarizing face of the Court’s modern conservative turn-ended a chapter in legal history and opened a political battle of a kind that America has not seen in decades. The bitter divide of this Presidential election season-over visions for the economy, national security, and immigration-has widened to include the ideological composition of the nation’s highest court.

At seventy-nine, Scalia was the Court’s longest-serving Justice, a father of nine, and an outsized personality who thrilled conservatives and infuriated liberals like nobody else in Washington. Though he maintained close friendships with some of his combatants, including fellow Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, and always hired a “token liberal” among his clerks, he openly relished the political implications of the Court’s affairs. Ever since he was nominated by President Ronald Reagan, in 1986, he dedicated himself to combating the notion of a “living” Constitution that evolves in step with the nation. The very announcement of Scalia’s death was accompanied by a political declaration. In the first official notice, Texas Governor Greg Abbott said, “We mourn his passing, and we pray that his successor on the Supreme Court will take his place as a champion for the written Constitution and the rule of law.”

The 2016 election has become a contest not only to determine control of the White House and the Congress but also to shape the future of the Supreme Court. The next President was expected to make multiple appointments to the court. (On Inauguration Day, Ginsburg will be nearly eighty-four, Anthony Kennedy will be over eighty, and Stephen Breyer will be seventy-eight.) With Scalia’s death, the partisan composition of the Court is now already up in the air. In a hastily arranged address on Saturday night, President Obama said he planned to name a nominee, over the protests of Republicans who could seek to prevent the Senate from voting on it. “I plan to fulfill my constitutional responsibility to nominate a successor, in due time. There will be plenty of time for me to do so, and for the Senate to carry out its responsibility for a timely vote,” he said. The issues at stake, he added, “are bigger than any one party. They are about the institution to which Justice Scalia dedicated his life.”

The outcome of the process has the potential to reshape American law on abortion, affirmative action, voting rights, energy, campaign finance, and many other issues. The political effects on the Presidential race cut in multiple directions: Will the suddenly inescapable vision of, say, a Cruz Presidency and a Cruz-chosen nominee bring more Democrats to the polls? And to which Democrat does that benefit accrue? Will the risk of a Sanders Court inspire evangelical voters to consolidate behind a Republican choice?

As news of Scalia’s death spread, hours before a Republican debate, the call for a moratorium on political strategizing around the news, in order to honor his achievements, was brief. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell issued a statement that, in effect, called on President Obama to refrain from naming a replacement and allow the Court to operate with eight Justices. “The American people? should have a voice in the selection of their next Supreme Court Justice. Therefore, this vacancy should not be filled until we have a new President,” McConnell said.

Ted Cruz, the Texas senator who was a clerk for former Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist, agreed, marking Scalia’s passing in a tweet: “We owe it to him, and the Nation, for the Senate to ensure that the next President names his replacement.” Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid called on Obama to nominate a replacement immediately, saying, “The Senate has a responsibility to fill vacancies as soon as possible.” Donald Trump, the Republican front-runner, called for the Senate to “delay, delay, delay” if President Obama attempts to name a successor.

Hillary Clinton said that Republicans who want the seat to remain vacant until the next President is in office “dishonor our Constitution” for partisan reasons. Bernie Sanders, who defeated Clinton last week in the New Hampshire primary in part by presenting himself as a different kind of politician, avoided any mention of the political implications: “While I differed with Justice Scalia’s views and jurisprudence, he was a brilliant, colorful and outspoken member of the Supreme Court. My thoughts and prayers are with his family and his colleagues on the court who mourn his passing.”

When Obama does nominate a successor to Scalia, that could set the stage for a Republican filibuster in the Senate. If there is a filibuster of a nominee, it will be the first time that has occurred since 1968, when President Lyndon Johnson, blocked by Senate Republicans and Southern Democrats, reluctantly withdrew the nomination of his confidant Abe Fortas, whom he had appointed to the Supreme Court three years earlier, to succeed Earl Warren as Chief Justice.

That drama began in June of that year when Warren, a Republican known for his liberal decisions, informed Johnson that he intended to retire. Just months before Election Day, Johnson moved swiftly to nominate Fortas as a successor to the Chief Justice. But it emerged that Fortas had attended White House staff meetings, briefed Johnson on Court deliberations, and pressured senators to limit their opposition to the Vietnam War. Moreover, Fortas had been paid outside his salary to speak to students at American University. The Illinois Republican Everett Dirksen and others withdrew their support-sparking the first and, so far, the only Senate filibuster over a Supreme Court nomination. (Scholars and partisan opponents have debated, ever since, whether it was technically a filibuster or another form of parliamentary procedure, though Laura Kalman, a professor of history at the University of California at Santa Barbara, has said that “Abe Fortas and L.B.J. are spinning in their graves at the notion there was no filibuster.”)

While the White House weighs potential nominees, the courts and Presidential contenders face a range of puzzling implications. What will happen if the Supreme Court reaches a tie in any of the cases that are currently before the Justices? (The lower court ruling would stand but would not set a legal precedent.) Is there any liberal nominee who stands a chance of winning confirmation in a Republican-controlled Senate? (Early bets landed on Federal Appeals Court Judge Sri Srinivasan, an Indian-American jurist who has worked in both Democratic and Republican Administrations.) In his nomination to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, Srinivasan won, in 2013, that rare achievement for a Democrat in today’s Washington-unanimous confirmation, with praise from Republicans.

Justice Antonin Scalia's Death

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3-Year-Old Cuts Long Locks To Help Others

3-Year-Old Cuts Long Locks To Help Others, Three-year-old Emily James’ favorite princess is Rapunzel. Born with a full head of golden brown hair, which continued to grow and grow, Emily loved her locks as much as she loves sparkly dresses and all things girly.

But in a recent video that has gone viral, Emily shows her real princess powers of compassion and kindness. With encouragement from her parents, Emily decided to cut her hair and donate it to those in need – children who lose their hair to cancer.

Emily’s parents, Amy and Richard James, are filmmakers who live in Ontario, Canada, with their three children. When it became clear that Emily’s long hair was becoming impractical to care for, Amy James recalled her own decision in high school to donate her hair to an organization that made wigs for cancer patients.

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Obama To Russia: There Will Be ‘Costs’ For Ukraine

Obama To Russia: There Will Be ‘Costs’ For Ukraine, President Barack Obama is warning Russia “there will be costs” for any military maneuvers it launches in Ukraine, a move U.S. and Ukrainian officials say they believe to be already underway.

Officials say Obama may retaliate by canceling a trip to Russia this summer for an international summit and could also cut off trade discussions with Moscow. But it’s unclear whether those moves will have any impact on Russia’s calculus in Ukraine, which is at the center of what many see as a tug of war between East and West.

“Any violation of Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity would be deeply destabilizing,” Obama declared Friday in a statement from the White House. Such action by Russia would represent a “profound interference” in matters that must be decided by the Ukrainian people, he said.

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Bush: Shaving Head Was ‘Right Thing To Do’

Bush: Shaving Head Was ‘Right Thing To Do’ – The former president, who lost his own daughter to leukemia decades ago, spoke to his granddaughter, TODAY’s Jenna Bush Hager, about shaving his head in honor of a little boy with leukemia, saying he hoped to bring “a little happiness” to the toddler.

Former President George H. W. Bush made headlines earlier this week when he shaved his head in support of a little boy battling leukemia.

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Plague Squirrel Sparks Fears

Plague Squirrel Sparks Fears – Campgrounds in the Angeles National Forest have been shut down for at least a week after a squirrel was found there infected with plague bacteria, according to Los Angeles County health officials.

While the critters may be cute, county and U.S. Forest Service officials have cautioned there’s nothing adorable about the plague, and have ordered visitors out of sections of the Table Mountain Campgrounds in Wrightwood, Calif., northeast of Los Angeles, NBC Los Angeles reported.

The areas have been closed since 1 p.m. on Wednesday, after a single squirrel trapped on July 16 tested positive for the plague. No people are believed to have been infected by the disease, which travels to human beings through bites by infected fleas, according to a health department spokesman.

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TSA Seizes Gun-Shaped Heels

TSA Seizes Gun-Shaped Heels – With all the hassle of getting through lines and security checkpoints at the airport to begin with, you wouldn’t think anyone would want to delay the process further by doing anything even remotely risky.

But one woman put her wardrobe to the test last week with the TSA. According to the Daily Beast, a woman had her black patent-leather pump shoes taken away from her at LaGuardia airport last week. Why? Because the heels of the shoe were designed to resemble guns. No, the gun shoes weren’t dangerous. But they were indeed a fashion risk gone wrong. So she agreed to take them off and walked through security barefoot. After the incident, the Daily Beast reports that the TSA tweeted a photo of the gun heels with the saying “Also, what not to wear at #LGA checkpoint.”

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Woman Scorpion Insurance Paid $57000

Woman Scorpion Insurance Paid $57000, An Arizona woman is wondering what hurt more: getting stung by a scorpion or seeing her hospital bill after treatment. ..

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Liberty Ross Rupert Sanders ~ Wall Street

Liberty Ross Rupert Sanders, Liberty posed on the red carpet Aug. 22 next without her wedding ring, and now a source confirms she’s ‘still processing’ what to do about her marriage. Liberty Ross walked the red carpet on Aug. 22 for the first time since news broke that her husband Rupert Sanders was having an affair with Kristen Stewart. The British model looked stunning in her silky ensemble, however there was one noticeable accessory missing – her wedding ring.

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U.S winds down longer benefits for the unemployed

Hundreds of thousands of out-of-work Americans are receiving their final unemployment checks sooner than they expected, even though Congress renewed extended benefits until the end of the year.

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The worst traffic in America? It is not Los Angeles

Los Angeles might seem to be the nation’s capital for gridlock, but according to Inrix, a provider of traffic data and information, the City Of Angels doesn’t have the worst traffic in the United States.

Posted in US | | tahersuzonlatestnewsupdate.blogspot.com